EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
2 - 3
Newport

Mendes Gomes (30'), Lockyer (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Collins (36'), Zimba (52'), Waite (76')
Drysdale (6'), Bowen (47'), Willmott (81'), Lewis (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Luton Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	West Bromwich Albion	2	0	2
15	Luton Town	2	0	2
16	Wigan Athletic	2	0	2

Newport County

Last Six:

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Sutton United	2	-1	1
17	Newport County	2	-1	1
18	Grimsby Town	2	-2	1

We said: Luton Town 3-1 Newport County

Luton have already demonstrated in their opening two league games that they are a tough team to beat, and we think that they will use their extra quality to brush aside their League Two opponents on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Newport County
43.22% ( 0)	26.71% ( 0)	30.07% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.28% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.52% (

-0)

54.48% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.16% (

-0)

75.84% (

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0)

25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34%

59.66% (

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

-0)

32.96% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45% (

-0)

69.55% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 43.21%

Newport County 30.07%

Draw 26.71%

Luton Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.21%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.07%