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EFL Cup
Luton Town
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Newport County

Luton
2 - 3
Newport

Mendes Gomes (30'), Lockyer (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Collins (36'), Zimba (52'), Waite (76')
Drysdale (6'), Bowen (47'), Willmott (81'), Lewis (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Luton Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

Last Six:
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Newport County

Last Six:
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Luton Town 3-1 Newport County

 Luton have already demonstrated in their opening two league games that they are a tough team to beat, and we think that they will use their extra quality to brush aside their League Two opponents on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawNewport County
43.22% (0.0010000000000048 0) 26.71% (0.00099999999999767 0) 30.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)75.84% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34%59.66% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)32.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.21%
    Newport County 30.07%
    Draw 26.71%
Luton TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 43.21%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.07%

How you voted: Luton vs Newport

Luton Town
94.4%
Draw
2.8%
Newport County
2.8%
36
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Newport
1-1
Luton
Sheehan (2')
Dolan (79'), O'Brien (89')
Potts (23')
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Luton
3-1
Newport
Sheehan (12'), Hylton (22', 35' pen.)
Collins (49'), Potts (65')
Labadie (55')
White (42'), O'Brien (68')
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
Newport
1-1
Luton
Rigg (28')
Rigg (48'), O'Brien (66'), Labadie (80'), Pipe (89'), Owen-Evans (94')
O'Brien (81')
Hylton (5' pen.)
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Newport
McGeehan (62' pen., 96' pen.)
Mullins (76')
Millins (84')
Myrie-Williams (70')
Randall (38'), Bennett (90'), Myrie-Williams (92'), Parkin (95'), Jones (97'), Tozer (98')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Luton
1-1
Newport
Marriott (81')
McQuoid (40')
Coulibaly (88')
Davies (39')
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