Championship | Gameweek 25
Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Swansea0 - 1Luton
We said: Swansea City 1-1 Luton Town
Given their respective situations, neither team can really afford a draw on Tuesday, particularly Luton whose playoffs ambitions are far more realistic. Nevertheless, we see a low-scoring draw playing out in South Wales. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 41.58% | 28.03% | 30.4% |
| Both teams to score 46.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.79% | 59.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.37% | 79.63% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% | 28.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.29% | 63.71% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% | 35.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.03% | 71.97% |
| Score Analysis |
Swansea City 41.57%
Luton Town 30.4%
Draw 28.02%
| Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.76% Total : 41.57% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-2 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.4% |
How you voted: Swansea vs Luton
Swansea City
36.7%Draw
29.7%Luton Town
33.6%128
