FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
2 - 3
Southampton

Piroe (77'), Bednarek (94' og.)
Bennett (43'), Cooper (45+1'), Walsh (59'), Dhanda (90+3')

FT
(aet)

Redmond (8'), Elyounoussi (95'), Long (102')
Valery (3')
Valery (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Swansea City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Swansea City 0-2 Southampton

Both teams will be hoping that this FA Cup tie will be the catalyst that gets their respective seasons back on track, placing pressure on this match. However, Southampton do have the added quality that should be enough to see them through this fixture in order to secure their place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%).

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Southampton
40.62%	25.42%	33.96%

Both teams to score 55.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07%

47.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9%

70.1%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.6%

23.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.61%

57.39%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93%

27.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55%

62.45%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 40.62%

Southampton 33.96%

Draw 25.42%

Swansea City	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.62%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.96%