Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK

London Stadium

West Ham
2 - 3
Southampton

Antonio (49'), Benrahma (64')
Rice (34'), Dawson (60'), Bowen (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Elyounoussi (8'), Ward-Prowse (61' pen.), Bednarek (70')
Broja (66'), Bednarek (85'), Walker-Peters (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between West Ham United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: West Ham United 2-1 Southampton

Despite the difference in league positions, everything points to this being a close game. Southampton will fancy their chances of causing West Ham problems in the final third, but we are backing the Hammers to battle their way to a hard-fought win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Southampton
46.95%	24.39%	28.66%

Both teams to score 56.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.49%

45.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.16%

67.84%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51%

19.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.64%

51.36%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.64%

29.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.66%

65.34%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 46.95%

Southampton 28.66%

Draw 24.38%

West Ham United	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.07% Total : 46.95%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 7.03% 0-1 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.66%