Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Brighton

Broja (29')
Tella (69'), Salisu (80'), Elyounoussi (90+4'), Romeu (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maupay (90+8')
Duffy (45'), Bissouma (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Southampton 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

There has not been a goalless stalemate between these two clubs for over 10 years, but it is extremely difficult to separate them on this occasion. The Saints have taken 10 points at home, while Brighton boast 10 on the road this term, and we can envisage defenders taking centre stage as both sides cancel each other out down south. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
41.06%	27.68%	31.26%

Both teams to score 47.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.28%

57.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.53%

78.47%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.37%

27.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.83%

63.17%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21%

33.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55%

70.45%

Score Analysis

Southampton 41.05%

Brighton & Hove Albion 31.26%

Draw 27.68%

Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 12% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.05%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.26%