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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Bournemouth logo

Luton
3 - 2
Bournemouth

Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 0-2 Bournemouth

Bournemouth will be keen to prove that they are fully over their mid-season blip and we think that the Cherries will be victorious here. Luton returned to action with a confidence-boosting win over fourth tier opposition last weekend but this is a different challenge entirely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
26.94%27.04%46.02%
Both teams to score 47.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.83%57.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97%78.03%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15%36.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36%73.64%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19%24.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61%59.39%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 26.94%
    Bournemouth 46.02%
    Draw 27.04%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 6.35%
2-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 2.11%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.94%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 12.74%
0-2 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-3 @ 4.13%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 2.06%
0-4 @ 1.44%
1-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 46.02%

How you voted: Luton vs Bournemouth

Luton Town
21.1%
Draw
10.5%
Bournemouth
68.4%
57
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Jan 4, 2020 5.31pm
Third Round
Bournemouth
4-0
Luton
Billing (8', 79'), Wilson (67'), Solanke (82')
Billing (41')

Jones (41')
Jan 27, 2009 3pm
Bournemouth
1-1
Luton
Hollands (29')
Pearce (71'), Cooper (81')
Hollands (11' og.)
Nicholls (27'), Hall (43'), Roper (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom6510102816
2Sunderland6501134915
3Burnley6411134913
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn6330126612
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd642093612
6Leeds UnitedLeeds632194511
7Swansea CitySwansea631274310
8Watford6312109110
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd630310829
10Derby CountyDerby63038719
11Norwich CityNorwich62228718
12Middlesbrough62226518
13Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
14Bristol City6222812-48
15Queens Park RangersQPR614189-17
16Luton TownLuton7214611-57
17Hull City613257-26
18Stoke CityStoke620449-56
19Millwall61239905
20Coventry CityCoventry612368-25
21Preston North EndPreston612339-65
22Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds6114612-64
23Portsmouth6033713-63
24Cardiff CityCardiff6015113-121


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