FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 9, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
4 - 0
Harrogate

Adebayo (18'), Jerome (50'), Naismith (82'), Berry (88')
Lansbury (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 2-0 Harrogate Town

Despite morale being boosted with their EFL Trophy win earlier this week, this represents a significant step-up for Harrogate. The Hatters should have enough quality to claim a relatively comfortable victory, regardless of the team that Jones selects on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
35.52%	25.06%	39.42%

Both teams to score 57.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.95%

46.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65%

68.35%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73%

25.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.97%

60.02%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83%

23.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.94%

57.05%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 35.52%

Harrogate Town 39.42%

Draw 25.05%

Luton Town	Draw	Harrogate Town
2-1 @ 8.1% 1-0 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.52%	1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	1-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.56% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 4.2% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.42%