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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 2
Cardiff

Clark (64')
Rea (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Cardiff City

Both Luton and Cardiff head into this contest after failing to score in midweek, however we can see the two sides finding the net on Saturday. The Hatters have struggled in recent seasons against the Bluebirds, but having impressed more so than their Welsh counterparts in the Championship so far this season, they should be strong enough to claim at least a point on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
38.81%28.14%33.06%
Both teams to score 47.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02%58.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55%79.45%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47%65.53%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83%33.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.22%69.78%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 38.8%
    Cardiff City 33.05%
    Draw 28.13%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 8.04%
2-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 38.8%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.05%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
51.3%
Draw
23.1%
Cardiff City
25.6%
39
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
0-2
Cardiff
Wilson (53'), Vaulks (57')
Vaulks (65')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Cardiff
0-3
Luton

Vaulks (85')
Hoilett (43' og.), Sheehan (63'), Jervis (70')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff
2-1
Luton
Flint (52'), Vassell (96')
Murphy (21'), Paterson (45')
Pearson (86')
Collins (61'), Potts (95')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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