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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
41.9% | 28.15% | 29.95% |
Both teams to score 46.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.21% | 59.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.92% | 80.08% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% | 28.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.16% | 63.84% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.13% | 35.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.36% | 72.64% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 8.11% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |