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Stoke logo
EFL Cup | Last 16
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Brentford logo

Stoke
1 - 2
Brentford

Sawyers (57')
Skiri Oestigaard (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Canos (22'), Toney (40')
Ghoddos (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Stoke City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
32.74%27.91%39.36%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.8%58.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.16%78.84%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.58%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19%28.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33%64.67%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 32.74%
    Brentford 39.35%
    Draw 27.9%
Stoke CityDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 2.69%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 8.16%
0-2 @ 7.36%
1-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 1.05%
0-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 39.35%

How you voted: Stoke vs Brentford

Stoke City
18.5%
Draw
18.5%
Brentford
63.0%
173
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Brentford
2-1
Stoke
Janelt (56'), Toney (79')
Dasilva (18')
Brown (1')
Thompson (25'), Norrington-Davies (35'), Allen (68')
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
3-2
Brentford
Fletcher (9'), McClean (35'), Campbell (59')
Fletcher (81'), Oakley-Boothe (88')
Forss (70', 90+1')
Toney (40')
Jul 18, 2020 12.30pm
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Third Round
Brentford
1-0
Stoke
Marcondes (43')
Daniels (90')

Campbell (43')
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Brentford
0-0
Stoke
Benrahma (79')
Gregory (22'), McClean (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal25158251222953
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest25145641291247
4Manchester CityMan City25135752351744
5Bournemouth25127644291543
6Chelsea25127647341343
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2512584233941
8Fulham2510963833539
9Aston Villa2510873538-338
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
11Brentford25104114342134
12Crystal Palace257992932-330
13Everton257992731-430
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Ipswich TownIpswich2538142350-2717
19Leicester CityLeicester2545162555-3017
20Southampton2523201957-389


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