EFL Cup | Last 16
Oct 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Stoke1 - 2Brentford
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Brentford |
| 32.74% | 27.91% | 39.36% |
| Both teams to score 47.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% | 58.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% | 78.84% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% | 32.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.43% | 69.58% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% | 28.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.33% | 64.67% |
| Score Analysis |
Stoke City 32.74%
Brentford 39.35%
Draw 27.9%
| Stoke City | Draw | Brentford |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.35% |
How you voted: Stoke vs Brentford
Stoke City
18.5%Draw
18.5%Brentford
63.0%173
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Brentford
2-1
Stoke
Oct 24, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 7
Stoke
3-2
Brentford
Jul 18, 2020 12.30pm
Gameweek 45
Stoke
1-0
Brentford
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Sep 21, 2019 3pm
