Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.