Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 48.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.