Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.