Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.