Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.