Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.