Championship

Championship | Gameweek 25

Dec 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Dean Court

Bournemouth
3 - 0
Cardiff

Christie (25'), Solanke (68'), Smithies (83' og.)
Solanke (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Harris (27'), Nelson (45+3')
Bacuna (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bournemouth 2-1 Cardiff City

Bournemouth's win over QPR will have given the Cherries a much-needed confidence boost and they will be keen to build on those three points. Cardiff have shown plenty of fighting spirit under Steve Morison so will be hard to beat, but a lack of match fitness after an enforced break could cost the Bluebirds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 55.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Bournemouth	Draw	Cardiff City
55.55%	23.93%	20.52%

Both teams to score 49.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.15%

50.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27%

72.73%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83%

18.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.85%

49.15%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.71%

39.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24%

76%

Score Analysis

Bournemouth 55.54%

Cardiff City 20.52%

Draw 23.92%

Bournemouth	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.33% Total : 55.54%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 7.14% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.41% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.52%