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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 24
Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Bristol City

Luton
2 - 1
Bristol City

Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Bristol City

Both teams are far enough ahead of the relegation zone to play with a certain level of freedom at the weekend. Nevertheless, given their respective inconsistencies, we are backing a low-scoring draw to play out between two evenly-matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBristol City
55.22%23.26%21.52%
Both teams to score 53.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.09%46.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.84%69.16%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.16%16.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.15%46.85%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96%36.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17%72.82%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 55.22%
    Bristol City 21.52%
    Draw 23.25%
Luton TownDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.63%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.03%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.2%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.52%

How you voted: Luton vs Bristol City

Luton Town
72.2%
Draw
12.4%
Bristol City
15.5%
97
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 44
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Rea (17'), Dewsbury-Hall (68')
Tunnicliffe (34')
Bradley (61' og.)
Semenyo (74')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 25
Bristol City
3-0
Luton
Watkins (4'), Diedhiou (44' pen.), Weimann (66')
Williams (49')

Berry (32'), Bradley (58'), Collins (63'), Pearson (76')
Oct 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Luton
3-0
Bristol City
Ruddock (56'), Cornick (62'), Williams (94' og.)
Tunnicliffe (51'), Ruddock (84')

Diedhiou (63'), Hunt (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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