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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.9%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Luton Town |
28.84% | 30.26% | 40.9% |
Both teams to score 40.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
33.23% | 66.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.89% | 85.11% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.36% | 40.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.77% | 77.23% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% | 32.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% | 68.71% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.78% 2-1 @ 6.01% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.31% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 13.09% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.26% | 0-1 @ 14.82% 0-2 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-3 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 16 |
2 | Sunderland | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Burnley | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
5 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
7 | Watford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 11 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
13 | Derby CountyDerby | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
14 | Millwall | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 8 |
15 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
16 | Bristol City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
21 | Coventry CityCoventry | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
22 | Preston North EndPreston | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
23 | Portsmouth | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 17 | -15 | 1 |
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