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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
30.6% | 27.93% | 41.47% |
Both teams to score 46.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.19% | 58.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.68% | 79.32% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.15% | 34.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.41% | 71.59% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.08% | 27.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% | 63.54% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 6.9% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 12.41% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |