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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Andrew's
Millwall logo

Birmingham
2 - 2
Millwall

Bacuna (47'), Taylor (79' pen.)
Roberts (52'), Taylor (54'), Sunjic (86'), Bacuna (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Burke (68'), Afobe (90+8')
Saville (25'), McNamara (72'), Cooper (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 0-2 Millwall

While the pressure will be on playoff-chasing Millwall to claim maximum points, there is also plenty of pressure on Birmingham, with their supporters desperate to see a response to their heavy defeat on Monday. Millwall have fared better on home soil this season, but we can see them ending a four-game winless away run with victory over their out-of-form counterparts on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
30.57%27.77%41.66%
Both teams to score 47.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76%58.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12%78.87%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43%34.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71%71.29%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.46%27.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94%63.05%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.56%
    Millwall 41.66%
    Draw 27.77%
Birmingham CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.11%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 5.37%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 12.27%
1-2 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 3.61%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.66%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Millwall

Birmingham City
25.8%
Draw
21.2%
Millwall
53.0%
66
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Millwall
3-1
Birmingham
Wallace (10'), Bradshaw (41'), Evans (74')
Deeney (56')
Pedersen (20'), Roberts (50')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Millwall
2-0
Birmingham
Wallace (3'), Thompson (75')
Romeo (78'), Woods (80')

Harper (53'), Jutkiewicz (70')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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