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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Millwall logo

Luton
2 - 2
Millwall

Adebayo (33'), Cooper (87' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bradshaw (25'), Afobe (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Millwall

Both teams will be stronger squad-wise than they were before the international break with players returning from injury, so the two managers will feel this is a good chance to set the tone for the final eight games. We think that it will be a tight game and predict that it will finish level. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawMillwall
53.35%26.52%20.14%
Both teams to score 42.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46%60.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35%80.65%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09%22.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32%56.68%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67%45.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8%81.2%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 53.34%
    Millwall 20.14%
    Draw 26.5%
Luton TownDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.3%
2-0 @ 11.27%
2-1 @ 8.92%
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 53.34%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.22%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.26%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Luton vs Millwall

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
26.1%
Millwall
23.9%
46
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Millwall
0-2
Luton

Cooper (69')
Cornick (11', 53')
Clark (72'), Naismith (83'), Bree (84')
Feb 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Millwall
2-0
Luton
Cranie (45+3' og.), Mahoney (79')
Leonard (38'), Woods (60')

Cranie (66')
Jan 1, 2020 12.45pm
Oct 2, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33226547232470
2Leeds UnitedLeeds32209366194769
3Burnley33171423993065
4Sunderland321711449282162
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn33156123931851
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom331115742311148
7Coventry CityCoventry33138124441347
8Bristol City33111394137446
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds33129124650-445
10Watford33136144348-545
11Middlesbrough32128125043744
12Norwich CityNorwich331111115145644
13Queens Park RangersQPR331111113941-244
14Millwall321011113233-141
15Preston North EndPreston3291493438-441
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd33911133447-1338
17Swansea CitySwansea33107163446-1237
18Portsmouth3399154155-1436
19Stoke CityStoke32811133140-935
20Cardiff CityCardiff32711143554-1932
21Hull City3279163243-1130
22Derby CountyDerby3378183346-1329
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32610163466-3228
24Luton TownLuton3276193052-2227


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