Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.