We said: Fulham 2-1 Preston North End
Fulham have lost their last two Championship matches, meaning that Preston could be facing the capital outfit at the wrong time. There appears to be some nerves in the Craven Cottage camp at the moment, but we are expecting the home side to secure the points they require to seal promotion to the Premier League.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 10.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.78%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.