Derby1 - 0Preston
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Peterborough United | 46 | -44 | 37 |
| 23 | Derby County | 46 | -8 | 34 |
| 24 | Barnsley | 46 | -40 | 30 |
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Coventry City | 46 | 1 | 64 |
| 13 | Preston North End | 46 | -4 | 64 |
| 14 | Stoke City | 46 | 5 | 62 |
We said: Derby County 1-0 Preston North End
With Derby proving hard to beat on home turf and Preston having little left to play for, we are backing the Rams to give their survival hopes a boost with a hard-fought win. Wayne Rooney's side have shown that they should never be written off. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Preston North End |
| 43.68% | 27.93% | 28.39% |
| Both teams to score 45.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.38% | 59.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% | 79.94% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% | 27.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63% | 37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.22% | 73.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.68% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 9.97% 1-2 @ 6.47% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.39% |
