Championship

Championship | Gameweek 43

Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
3 - 0
Derby

Whiteman (18'), Evans (73'), Ledson (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Byrne (86')

Wayne Rooney admits Derby are "conceding too many sloppy goals"

The Rams are in relegation trouble after a fourth successive defeat.

Apr 20, 22:51

The Match

Match Report

The Rams are only four points above the drop zone.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Derby County
32.71%	27.88%	39.4%

Both teams to score 47.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.87%

58.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21%

78.79%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03%

32.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44%

69.56%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25%

28.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4%

64.59%

Score Analysis

Preston North End 32.7%

Derby County 39.4%

Draw 27.88%

Preston North End	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 7.27% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.7%	1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 8.17% 0-2 @ 7.36% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.06% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.4%