Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.