Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.