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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 16, 2021 at 6pm UK
Ewood Park
Derby logo

Blackburn
2 - 1
Derby

Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Rams remain fourth from bottom, four points above Rotherham who have three games in hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
44.13%27.63%28.23%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41%61.58%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.4%36.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62%73.38%
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 44.13%
    Derby County 28.23%
    Draw 27.63%
Blackburn RoversDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 8.56%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 4.89%
1-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 28.23%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Derby

Blackburn Rovers
57.0%
Draw
17.7%
Derby County
25.3%
79
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
1-0
Derby
Armstrong (57')
Evans (62')

Lawrence (18')
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Blackburn
2-0
Derby
Rothwell (76'), Dack (92')
Bennett (51'), Travis (85')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Derby
0-0
Blackburn
Bogle (76'), Waghorn (90')
Williams (46'), Palmer (49'), Lenihan (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
10Swansea CitySwansea631274310
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Millwall7223121028
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
16Bristol City6222812-48
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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