Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bloomfield Road

Blackpool
0 - 2
Derby

Connolly (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ebiowei (73'), Cashin (82')
Davies (84'), Ebosele (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackpool and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

Last Six:

Last Game: Peterborough 5-0 Blackpool
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Swansea City	46	-10	61
16	Blackpool	46	-4	60
17	Bristol City	46	-15	55

Derby County

Last Six:

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Peterborough United	46	-44	37
23	Derby County	46	-8	34
24	Barnsley	46	-40	30

We said: Blackpool 2-1 Derby County

Given Derby's abysmal away record, Blackpool will fancy their chances of running riot at the weekend. While that may not materialise, we still expect the Tangerines to claim all three points, potentially benefitting from a fast start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackpool	Draw	Derby County
57.25%	22.58%	20.16%

Both teams to score 53.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.28%

45.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.96%

68.04%

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.28%

15.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.19%

44.81%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.27%

36.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.48%

73.51%

Score Analysis

Blackpool 57.25%

Derby County 20.16%

Draw 22.58%

Blackpool	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 10.68% 2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.88% 3-1 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.82% 4-0 @ 2.82% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.39% Total : 57.25%	1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 5.77% 2-2 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.58%	0-1 @ 5.78% 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.16%