Championship

Championship | Gameweek 22

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
1 - 0
Blackpool

Plange (51')
Jozwiak (54'), Lawrence (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Carey (42'), Anderson (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Derby County 1-0 Blackpool

Both sides will view this game as the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways, but we think that it will be Derby who will narrowly come out on top in a gritty affair. With the two clubs among the lowest scorers in the Championship, the match may be short of entertainment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Blackpool
29.3%	26.71%	43.99%

Both teams to score 49.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22%

54.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91%

76.09%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31%

33.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.65%

70.35%

Blackpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25%

24.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.7%

59.3%

Score Analysis

Derby County 29.3%

Blackpool 43.99%

Draw 26.7%

Derby County	Draw	Blackpool
1-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.3%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.99%