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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Derby logo

Millwall
1 - 1
Derby

Malone (45+1')
Mitchell (58'), Cooper (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ebosele (44')
Byrne (27')
Byrne (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawDerby County
45.68%28.03%26.29%
Both teams to score 44.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08%60.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06%80.93%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06%61.94%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52%39.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83%76.17%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 45.67%
    Derby County 26.29%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.91%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 26.29%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
68.8%
Draw
16.7%
Derby County
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Shinnie (84')
Hutchinson (45')
Evans (58')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
0-1
Derby
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')
Jun 20, 2020 1pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Martin (57')
Bradshaw (25')
Romeo (92'), Cooper (92')
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Huddlestone (42'), Keogh (63')
Wallace (72')
Marshall (43'), Williams (87'), Elliott (96')
rhs 2.0
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FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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