Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Derby County |
| 45.68% | 28.03% | 26.29% |
| Both teams to score 44.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.08% | 60.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.06% | 80.93% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% | 26.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.06% | 61.94% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% | 39.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.83% | 76.17% |
| Score Analysis |
Millwall 45.67%
Derby County 26.29%
Draw 28.02%
| Millwall | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 13.91% 2-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 8.54% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.89% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.29% |
How you voted: Millwall vs Derby
Millwall
68.8%Draw
16.7%Derby County
14.6%48
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
0-1
Derby
Jun 20, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 38
Millwall
2-3
Derby
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
0-1
Millwall
