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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Derby logo

Millwall
1 - 1
Derby

Malone (45+1')
Mitchell (58'), Cooper (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ebosele (44')
Byrne (27')
Byrne (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.68%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawDerby County
45.68%28.03%26.29%
Both teams to score 44.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08%60.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06%80.93%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31%26.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06%61.94%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52%39.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83%76.17%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 45.67%
    Derby County 26.29%
    Draw 28.02%
MillwallDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 13.91%
2-0 @ 9.19%
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 6.01%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 26.29%

How you voted: Millwall vs Derby

Millwall
68.8%
Draw
16.7%
Derby County
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Shinnie (84')
Hutchinson (45')
Evans (58')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Millwall
0-1
Derby
Knight (69')
Shinnie (34'), Bielik (58'), Waghorn (85'), Kazim-Richards (86'), Byrne (87')
Jun 20, 2020 1pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Martin (57')
Bradshaw (25')
Romeo (92'), Cooper (92')
Feb 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Huddlestone (42'), Keogh (63')
Wallace (72')
Marshall (43'), Williams (87'), Elliott (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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