MX23RW : Monday, November 25 14:07:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Derby logo
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park
Blackburn logo

Derby
1 - 2
Blackburn

Davies (89')
Shinnie (29'), Lawrence (50')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Brereton Diaz (8', 20')
Lenihan (59'), Buckley (85'), Khadra (88'), Poveda (89'), Travis (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBlackburn Rovers
32.95%29.27%37.78%
Both teams to score 43.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.1%62.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.6%82.39%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67%35.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91%72.08%
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89%32.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 32.94%
    Blackburn Rovers 37.77%
    Draw 29.26%
Derby CountyDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.13%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.34%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.26%
0-1 @ 12.88%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 7.32%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 37.77%

How you voted: Derby vs Blackburn

Derby County
40.0%
Draw
17.1%
Blackburn Rovers
42.9%
70
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 42
Blackburn
2-1
Derby
Gallagher (42'), Elliott (66')
Holtby (32'), Elliott (67')
Lawrence (22')
Clarke (45+1')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Derby
0-4
Blackburn

Buchanan (33'), Rooney (80')
Dolan (11'), Johnson (12', 15'), Armstrong (78')
Johnson (36'), Lenihan (42'), Rothwell (66')
Mar 8, 2020 3pm
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
1-0
Derby
Armstrong (57')
Evans (62')

Lawrence (18')
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Blackburn
2-0
Derby
Rothwell (76'), Dack (92')
Bennett (51'), Travis (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
2Sunderland1695226121432
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
4Burnley168621961330
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!