Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
Derby1 - 0Reading
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Reading |
| 41.64% | 28.18% | 30.18% |
| Both teams to score 46.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% | 59.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.91% | 80.09% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.98% | 64.02% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.31% | 35.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.53% | 72.47% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 41.64%
Reading 30.18%
Draw 28.17%
| Derby County | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.71% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 4.27% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.18% |
How you voted: Derby vs Reading
Derby County
24.7%Draw
17.2%Reading
58.1%93
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 40
Reading
3-1
Derby
Jun 27, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 39
Derby
2-1
Reading
