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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
38.55% | 28.77% | 32.68% |
Both teams to score 45.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.76% | 61.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.83% | 81.18% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.21% | 30.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.94% | 67.06% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.37% | 34.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.65% | 71.35% |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.55% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.76% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.23% Total : 32.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |