EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bramall Lane
Sheff Utd2 - 1Derby
The Match
Match Report
Substitute Billy Sharp scored the winner after Luke Freeman cancelled out Louie Sibley's opener.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Sheffield United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
| 43.8% | 29.08% | 27.12% |
| Both teams to score 42.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.14% | 63.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.91% | 83.09% |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% | 29.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35% | 65% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.58% | 40.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.96% | 77.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Sheffield United 43.79%
Derby County 27.12%
Draw 29.07%
| Sheffield United | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 14.51% 2-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.12% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.47% Total : 43.79% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.33% Total : 27.12% |
How you voted: Sheff Utd vs Derby
Sheffield United
66.2%Draw
6.2%Derby County
27.7%65
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2020 5pm
Oct 20, 2018 5.30pm
Form Guide
