EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
3 - 3
Salford City

Hutchinson (43'), Kazim-Richards (71' pen.), Morrison (82')
Ebosele (42'), Jozwiak (77')

FT
(aet)

Turnbull (8'), Morris (14', 74' pen.)
Turnbull (18')

Derby win 5-3 on penalties

Derby boss Wayne Rooney: Shoot-out win over Salford is my proudest moment

The Carabao Cup first round tie ended 3-3 after 90 minutes.

Aug 10, 23:06

The Match

Match Report

The Rams were 2-0 down after just 14 minutes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Derby County and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 45.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-0 (10.45%).

Result
Derby County	Draw	Salford City
25.73%	29.11%	45.17%

Both teams to score 41.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.41%

64.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.4%

83.6%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.92%

42.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.5%

78.5%

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29%

28.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47%

64.53%

Score Analysis

Derby County 25.72%

Salford City 45.16%

Draw 29.1%

Derby County	Draw	Salford City
1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 5.65% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.14% Total : 25.72%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 12.07% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 15.07% 0-2 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-3 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.22% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.49% Total : 45.16%