Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pride Park

Derby
0 - 0
Middlesbrough

Jagielka (66'), Byrne (90+1')

Peltier (30'), Tavernier (43'), Bola (54'), Jones (85')

Neil Warnock tells Boro goalkeeper Joe Lumley: 'You won us a point today'

Lumley bounced back from his mistake at QPR to help Boro earn a goalless draw at Derby.

Aug 21, 18:43

The Match

Match Report

Goalkeepeers Kelle Roos and Joe Lumley ensured defences came out on top at Pride Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Middlesbrough
30.98%	27.58%	41.43%

Both teams to score 48.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.56%

57.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.75%

78.25%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.16%

33.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.49%

70.51%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71%

27.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27%

62.73%

Score Analysis

Derby County 30.98%

Middlesbrough 41.43%

Draw 27.58%

Derby County	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 7.04% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.98%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.58%	0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 7.79% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.43%