Championship | Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby2 - 1Middlesbrough
The Match
Match Report
Lee Gregory marked his first Pride Park appearance following his loan move from Stoke by heading home the opening goal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 29.33% | 28.4% | 42.27% |
| Both teams to score 45.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.15% | 60.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.12% | 80.88% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% | 36.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.29% | 73.71% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% | 28.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.78% | 64.22% |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 29.32%
Middlesbrough 42.26%
Draw 28.39%
| Derby County | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 13.2% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.09% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.65% Total : 42.26% |
How you voted: Derby vs Middlesbrough
Derby County
44.9%Draw
27.5%Middlesbrough
27.5%69
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Middlesbrough
3-0
Derby
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 27
Middlesbrough
2-2
Derby
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Oct 27, 2018 12.30pm
Form Guide
