Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Gregory (15'), Kazim-Richards (32')
Jozwiak (35'), Knight (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kebano (38')
Dijksteel (62')

Neil Warnock admits Middlesbrough were unthreatening in Derby defeat

Neil Warnock's team are winless in five games and have scored only twice during that run.

Feb 13, 18:51

The Match

Match Report

Lee Gregory marked his first Pride Park appearance following his loan move from Stoke by heading home the opening goal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Middlesbrough
29.33%	28.4%	42.27%

Both teams to score 45.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.15%

60.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.12%

80.88%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07%

36.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29%

73.71%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54%

28.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78%

64.22%

Score Analysis

Derby County 29.32%

Middlesbrough 42.26%

Draw 28.39%

Derby County	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 6.55% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.32%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.39%	0-1 @ 13.2% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-3 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.09% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.65% Total : 42.26%