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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
34.78% | 27.05% | 38.18% |
Both teams to score 50.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% | 54.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% | 75.97% |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% | 29.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% | 65.92% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.22% | 27.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% | 63.36% |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 7.77% 2-0 @ 6.06% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |