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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Derby County |
30.4% | 29.21% | 40.39% |
Both teams to score 43.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.82% | 63.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.4% | 82.6% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.63% | 37.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% | 74.15% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% | 30.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% | 66.92% |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 13.54% 0-2 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-3 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 0.93% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.33% Total : 40.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |