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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
44.28% | 27.82% | 27.89% |
Both teams to score 45.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.54% | 59.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.18% | 79.82% |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% | 26.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% | 61.98% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.69% | 37.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.9% | 74.09% |
Score Analysis |
Preston North End | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 8.68% 2-1 @ 8.56% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.94% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.1% 0-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.74% Total : 27.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |