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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Loftus Road
Derby logo

QPR
1 - 0
Derby

Amos (88')
Dozzell (59'), Field (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (56')
Lawrence (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Derby County

Despite their outstanding results at home, Derby have still lost eight successive league games on the road, so it is very difficult to predict anything other than a home win on Monday. The hosts have been far from their best so Derby should give them an almighty contest, but if QPR can build on their draw last time out, then they should have just enough in them to record a narrow victory to potentially condemn their visitors to relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
52.85%23.87%23.29%
Both teams to score 53.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22%48.79%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24%34.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51%71.49%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 52.84%
    Derby County 23.29%
    Draw 23.86%
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 23.29%

How you voted: QPR vs Derby

Queens Park Rangers
44.6%
Draw
19.6%
Derby County
35.7%
56
Head to Head
Nov 29, 2021 7.45pm
Derby
1-2
QPR
Lawrence (10')
Willock (50'), Gray (90')
Gray (90+1')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Nov 4, 2020 7.45pm
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Nov 30, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
QPR
Waghorn (23')
Malone (16')
Eze (45' pen.)
Osayi-Samuel (49'), Cameron (75'), Manning (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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