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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
City Ground
QPR logo

Nott'm Forest
3 - 1
QPR

Spence (55'), Yates (83'), Johnson (87')
Yates (62'), Davis (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gray (40')
Dozzell (36'), Dunne (43'), Field (54'), Wallace (60'), Odubajo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Queens Park Rangers

On the back of their excellent win at Luton, QPR head into this game with plenty of confidence. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Forest's general dominance at the City Ground, leading to a prediction of a narrow victory for the East Midlands giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawQueens Park Rangers
48.86%26.6%24.54%
Both teams to score 46.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88%57.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01%77.99%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55%57.45%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09%38.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36%75.64%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 48.86%
    Queens Park Rangers 24.54%
    Draw 26.6%
Nottingham ForestDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 13.23%
2-0 @ 9.6%
2-1 @ 9.06%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-2 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.61%
1-2 @ 5.9%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs QPR

Nottingham Forest
Draw
Queens Park Rangers
Nottingham Forest
58.6%
Draw
18.4%
Queens Park Rangers
23.0%
87
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2021 7.45pm
QPR
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Dykes (45+4')
Dozzell (43'), Johansen (83')
Colback (90+1')
Worrall (90+2')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-1
QPR
Mighten (44'), Grabban (63'), Garner (69')
Yates (32'), Krovinovic (66'), Christie (89')
Dykes (90+2')
Johansen (73')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
QPR
2-0
Nott'm Forest
Dykes (54' pen.), Chair (90+4')
Dykes (77')

Figueiredo (53'), Gabriel (62')
Nov 27, 2019 7.45pm
QPR
0-4
Nott'm Forest

Scowen (57')
Wallace (50')
Figueiredo (15'), Grabban (81'), Carvalho (88'), Semedo (91')
Cash (52'), Bostock (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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