Championship

Championship | Gameweek 32

Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
2 - 2
Stoke

Johnson (56'), Yates (90+1')
Lowe (7'), Davis (18'), Garner (52')
Samba (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maja (68'), Baker (88' pen.)
Wilmot (33'), Clucas (81'), Allen (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Stoke City

Having found some form in front of goal, Stoke will be confident of making an impact at the City Ground. However, we cannot back against Forest right now, and it would come as a surprise if Cooper's team did not collect all three points from a hard-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Stoke City
38.03%	27.49%	34.48%

Both teams to score 49.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6%

56.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59%

77.41%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29%

28.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46%

64.54%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.09%

30.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.8%

67.2%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 38.03%

Stoke City 34.48%

Draw 27.49%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.03%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.48%