FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Feb 6, 2022 at 4pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
4 - 1
Leicester

Zinckernagel (23'), Johnson (24'), Worrall (32'), Spence (61')
Garner (65')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Iheanacho (40')
Ndidi (59'), Maddison (74')

Leicester City fan jailed for assault on three Nottingham Forest players

A Leicester City supporter is handed a four-month prison sentence after running onto the pitch to assault three Nottingham Forest players during an FA Cup fixture.

Feb 24, 14:14

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Nottingham Forest and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Leicester City

Both clubs will be eager to claim local bragging rights, leading us to predict a high-octane showdown between two teams who have ambitions to improve during the second half of the campaign. Forest should more than match their higher-league neighbours, but we feel that Leicester could edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Leicester City
32.03%	24.94%	43.04%

Both teams to score 56.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.66%

46.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.37%

68.63%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49%

27.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.99%

63.02%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45%

21.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.38%

54.63%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 32.03%

Leicester City 43.04%

Draw 24.94%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 7.65% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.03%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 5.93% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94%	0-1 @ 9.1% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 6.98% 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.04%