Man City

6 - 3

Leicester

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.