Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 13

Nov 28, 2021 at 2pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
4 - 2
Watford

Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')

FT(HT: 3-1)

King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')

Jamie Vardy sets new Premier League scoring record with Watford brace

Leicester City forward Jamie Vardy takes his tally to 93 Premier League goals since turning 30 with his brace against Watford on Sunday.

Nov 28, 19:47

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leicester City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Leicester City 1-1 Watford

These are the type of matches that Leicester will need to win if they are to be challengers for a European spot this term, but Watford will be full of confidence after their excellent result against Man United, and we are backing the Hornets to secure a share of the spoils at the King Power Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Watford
52%	24.39%	23.61%

Both teams to score 52.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.57%

49.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.53%

71.46%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.01%

18.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.47%

50.53%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51%

35.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74%

72.25%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 51.99%

Watford 23.61%

Draw 24.38%

Leicester City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 9.3% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.11% Total : 51.99%	1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.98% 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.97% Total : 23.61%