Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 14, 2021 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
7 - 0
Leeds

Foden (8'), Grealish (13'), De Bruyne (32', 62'), Mahrez (49'), Stones (74'), Ake (78')
Dias (40')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Firpo (20')

Leeds United's Marcelo Bielsa reacts to 7-0 thrashing by Manchester City

Leeds United head coach Marcelo Bielsa takes full responsibility for their humiliating 7-0 defeat away against Premier League holders Manchester City on Tuesday night.

Dec 15, 13:30

Manchester City players celebrating after scoring against Leeds United on December 14, 2021

Manchester City equal all-time Liverpool top-flight win record for single year

Manchester City equal Liverpool's all-time top-flight record for the most wins in a single calendar year after thrashing Leeds United 7-0 on Wednesday night.

Dec 14, 23:54

Pep Guardiola breaks Jurgen Klopp record as Manchester City hit Leeds United for seven

Pep Guardiola reaches two goalscoring milestones as Manchester City manager after his side thrashed Leeds United 7-0 at the Etihad Stadium on Tuesday night.

Dec 14, 22:14

The Match

We said: Manchester City 2-0 Leeds United

With multiple absentees to contend with and a penchant for conceding goals away from home, this clash is only expected to end in one way for Leeds and Bielsa. Guardiola will pay his opposite number the respect that he deserves, but a refreshed City side should continue to dominate at home with maximum points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.94%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 6.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Leeds United
80.94%	12.19%	6.87%

Both teams to score 50.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.95%

29.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.95%

50.05%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.55%

5.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.69%

21.31%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.28%

46.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.72%

82.27%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 80.93%

Leeds United 6.87%

Draw 12.19%

Manchester City	Draw	Leeds United
2-0 @ 10.78% 3-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 7.96% 4-0 @ 7.61% 1-0 @ 7.41% 4-1 @ 5.79% 5-0 @ 4.43% 5-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.03% 4-2 @ 2.21% 6-0 @ 2.15% 6-1 @ 1.64% 5-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 4.6% Total : 80.93%	1-1 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 3.12% 0-0 @ 2.55% Other @ 0.88% Total : 12.19%	1-2 @ 2.15% 0-1 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.79% Total : 6.87%