Chelsea

3 - 2

Leeds

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.