Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

bet365 Stadium

Stoke
2 - 3
Fulham

Wright-Phillips (1'), Baker (58')
Brown (39'), Harwood-Bellis (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Muniz (2'), Carvalho (33'), Reid (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 0-2 Fulham

Regardless of who they are playing, it is simply not realistic to back against Fulham in second-tier action right now. While we feel that Stoke will put up a stronger fight than Fulham's previous opponents, we still expect another three points for the West Londoners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Fulham
21.47%	23.85%	54.68%

Both teams to score 51.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.54%

49.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.5%

71.5%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46%

37.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68%

74.32%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02%

17.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18%

48.82%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 21.47%

Fulham 54.68%

Draw 23.85%

Stoke City	Draw	Fulham
1-0 @ 6.61% 2-1 @ 5.56% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.47%	1-1 @ 11.34% 0-0 @ 6.75% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 11.58% 0-2 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-3 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 5.57% 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-4 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 2.39% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.68%